BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


-----------------------------------------------


Mount Ayr

Class: 1A Class Rank: 48 Conference: (10-6) Overall: (16-8) Overall Strength =   62.06

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/30/2009 Home    W    67.60  79   60   1A   88 (16- 7) Murray                  5.37     13.63                      
  2 12/01/2009 Away    W    66.03  76   38   1A  128 ( 5-13) Mormon Trail            3.81 *   34.19                      
  3 12/04/2009 Away    W *  66.77  67   60   1A   64 (12-10) Corning                 4.55      2.45                      
  4 12/11/2009 Home    L *  57.13  52   73   1A   11 (23- 2) Bedford                -5.09    -15.91                      
  5 12/15/2009 Away    L *  71.40  51   52   2A   57 (17- 5) Nodaway Valley          9.18    -10.18                      
  6 12/17/2009 Away    L    54.07  63   67   1A   74 (18- 3) Lamoni                 -8.15      4.15                      
  7 12/18/2009 Away    L *  43.47  42   57   2A  101 (11- 9) Truro Interstate-35   -18.75      3.75                      
  8 12/22/2009 Away    W *  45.34  70   69   1A  111 ( 2-19) Afton East Union      -16.88     17.88  was 12/08 now 12/22 
  9 01/11/2010 Home    W    59.92  63   49   2A  128 ( 1-18) Osceola Clarke         -2.30     16.30                      
 10 01/12/2010 Home    W *  65.39  51   40   1A   70 ( 9-13) Lenox                   3.17      7.83                      
 11 01/15/2010 Away    W *  67.73  58   40   2A  122 ( 8-12) Leon Central Decatur    5.51     12.49                      
 12 01/19/2010 Home    W *  56.46  58   43   1A  111 ( 2-19) Afton East Union       -5.77     20.77                      
 13 01/21/2010 Home    W *  68.89  63   51   1A   64 (12-10) Corning                 6.66      5.34  was 01/05 now 01/21 
 14 01/22/2010 Home    W *  63.60  58   47   2A  110 (10-12) Corydon Wayne           1.38      9.62                      
 15 01/26/2010 Away    L *  63.02  42   60   1A   11 (23- 2) Bedford                 0.80    -18.80                      
 16 01/29/2010 Away    L *  48.21  52   64   1A   62 (14- 8) Southeast Warren      -14.01      2.01                      
 17 02/02/2010 Home    L *  53.51  48   64   2A   57 (17- 5) Nodaway Valley         -8.71     -7.29                      
 18 02/04/2010 Home    W *  61.14  79   60   1A  104 ( 4-18) Martensdale M-SM       -1.08     20.08  was 01/08 now 02/04 
 19 02/05/2010 Home    W *  60.07  52   50   2A   98 (10-11) Pleasantville          -2.15      4.15                      
 20 02/09/2010 Away    W *  71.28  61   47   1A   70 ( 9-13) Lenox                   9.06      4.94                      
 21 02/18/2010 Home    W    79.57  76   52   1A   73 (13- 9) Orient-Macksburg       17.35      6.65                      
 22 02/23/2010 Away    W    78.07  62   42   1A   74 (18- 3) Lamoni                 15.85      4.15                      
 23 02/25/2010 Neutral W    55.04  63   58   1A   88 (16- 7) Murray                 -7.18     12.18                      
 24 02/27/2010 Neutral L    69.61  53   62   1A   20 (24- 2) Ankeny Christian        7.39    -16.39                      
      Averages              62.22  60.0 54.4

Best game:   79.57 = 24 point win over Orient-Macksburg
Worst game:  43.47 = 15 point loss to Truro Interstate-35
Team stdev:   9.37